Michigan 2026 midterms
Updated
Polls close · Tuesday, Nov 3
Statewide at 8:00 PM local time: 8:00 PM ET in most of Michigan, 9:00 PM ET in four Upper Peninsula counties
13 days away. Results appear on this page as each race is decided.
Statewide races
2 racesSenateHeld by DemocratsLikely Dem70%Abdul El-Sayed (D)30%Mike Rogers (R)El-Sayed 0% past 7 daysFull forecast GovernorHeld by DemocratsSafe Dem93%Jocelyn Benson (D)7%John James (R)Benson -3% past 7 daysFull forecast
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
House delegation
13 seats- Held today
- D 6 · R 7
- Expected seats
- D 7.9 · R 5.1
- Each district’s chance, added up
- Safe D 6
- Lean D 2
- Toss up 1
- Safe R 4
Districts on the 2024 lines. Flip: the favourite, or the winner, is not the party holding the seat.
- District 01Bergman 88% chanceSafe R
- District 02Moolenaar 98% chanceSafe R
- District 03Scholten 95% chanceSafe D
- District 04McCann 52% chanceToss up
- District 05Walberg 95% chanceSafe R
- District 06Dingell 97% chanceSafe D
- District 07Lawrence 63% chanceprojected Flip to DemocratsLean D
- District 08Rivet 95% chanceSafe D
- District 09McClain 96% chanceSafe R
- District 10Hines 67% chanceprojected Flip to DemocratsLean D
- District 11Moss 96% chanceSafe D
- District 12Tlaib 98% chanceSafe D
- District 13McKinney 98% chanceSafe D
Ballot measures
1 measureVote to rewrite the state Constitution
90% chance no
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
News and signals in Michigan
Each item links to its source.