MI-03 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close
Scholten 95% chance
- Hillary Scholten (D)0% past 7 days95%
- Terri DeBoer (R)0% past 7 days4%
Chance over time
- Scholten95%
- DeBoer4%
Chance over time, past month: Scholten from 94% to 95%; DeBoer from 7% to 4%.
| Date | Scholten | DeBoer |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 94% | 3% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 95% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 95% | 4% |
Projected margin
Most likely Scholten by 10–15 · 8 in 10: Scholten +10 to Scholten +29.4
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| DeBoer wins | 5% |
| Scholten by 0–5 | 3% |
| Scholten by 5–10 | 2% |
| Scholten by 10–15 | 29% |
| Scholten by 15–20 | 18% |
| Scholten by 20–25 | 20% |
| Scholten by 25–30 | 14% |
| Scholten by 30–35 | 3% |
| Scholten by 35+ | 5% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Hillary J. Scholten (D)
More in Michigan
Ballot measures
- Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?No 90%