North Carolina 2026 midterms
Updated
Polls close · Tuesday, Nov 3
13 days away. Results appear on this page as each race is decided.
Statewide races
1 raceSenateHeld by RepublicansProjected flip R → DSafe Dem96%Roy Cooper (D)4%Michael Whatley (R)Cooper +1% past 7 daysFull forecast
Governor
North Carolina does not elect its governor in 2026.
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
House delegation
14 seats- Held today
- D 4 · R 10
- Expected seats
- D 5.7 · R 8.3
- Each district’s chance, added up
- Safe D 3
- Likely D 2
- Likely R 4
- Safe R 5
North Carolina votes on new district lines for 2026: no seat has a like-for-like incumbent, so no flips are marked.
- District 01Davis 72% chanceLikely D
- District 02Ross 99% chanceSafe D
- District 03Murphy 81% chanceLikely R
- District 04Foushee 97% chanceSafe D
- District 05Foxx 87% chanceSafe R
- District 06McDowell 90% chanceSafe R
- District 07Rouzer 80% chanceLikely R
- District 08Harris 95% chanceSafe R
- District 09Hudson 81% chanceLikely R
- District 10Harrigan 96% chanceSafe R
- District 11Ager 83% chanceLikely D
- District 12Adams 96% chanceSafe D
- District 13Knott 84% chanceLikely R
- District 14Moore 90% chanceSafe R
News and signals in North Carolina
Each item links to its source.