NC-07 House forecast
Likely Rep2026 lines
Polls close
Rouzer 80% chance
- Kimberly Hardy (D)+9% past 7 days21%
- David Rouzer (R)-8% past 7 days80%
Chance over time
- Hardy21%
- Rouzer80%
Chance over time, past month: Hardy from 16% to 21%; Rouzer from 84% to 80%.
| Date | Hardy | Rouzer |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 16% | 84% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 16% | 83% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 15% | 86% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 14% | 87% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 21% | 80% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current NC-07 member was elected on different lines.