New York 2026 midterms
Updated
Polls close · Tuesday, Nov 3
13 days away. Results appear on this page as each race is decided.
Statewide races
1 raceGovernorHeld by DemocratsSafe Dem95%Kathy Hochul (D)5%Bruce Blakeman (R)Hochul 0% past 7 daysFull forecast
Senate
Neither of New York’s Senate seats is on the ballot in 2026.
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
House delegation
26 seats- Held today
- D 19 · R 7
- Expected seats
- D 19.8 · R 6.2
- Each district’s chance, added up
- Safe D 19
- Lean D 1
- Likely R 2
- Safe R 4
Districts on the 2024 lines. Flip: the favourite, or the winner, is not the party holding the seat.
- District 01LaLota 86% chanceSafe R
- District 02Garbarino 81% chanceLikely R
- District 03Suozzi 91% chanceSafe D
- District 04Gillen 93% chanceSafe D
- District 05Meeks 98% chanceSafe D
- District 06Meng 97% chanceSafe D
- District 07Valdez 97% chanceSafe D
- District 08Jeffries 97% chanceSafe D
- District 09Clarke 97% chanceSafe D
- District 10Lander 98% chanceSafe D
- District 11Malliotakis 95% chanceSafe R
- District 12Lasher 97% chanceSafe D
- District 13Chevalier 96% chanceSafe D
- District 14Ocasio-Cortez 97% chanceSafe D
- District 15Torres 98% chanceSafe D
- District 16Latimer 97% chanceSafe D
- District 17Conley 60% chanceprojected Flip to DemocratsLean D
- District 18Ryan 96% chanceSafe D
- District 19Riley 96% chanceSafe D
- District 20Tonko 97% chanceSafe D
- District 21Constantino 71% chanceLikely R
- District 22Mannion 96% chanceSafe D
- District 23Langworthy 96% chanceSafe R
- District 24Tenney 96% chanceSafe R
- District 25Morelle 97% chanceSafe D
- District 26Kennedy 97% chanceSafe D
News and signals in New York
Each item links to its source.